2/3 @NY- 1-3
2/4 LAA- 5-7
2/3 NY- 8-10
1/3 @TX- 12-14
3/3 @LAA- 15-17
1/3 @Oak- 19-21
1/2 Was- 23-24
3/4 Clv- 25-28
The fallout of the Julio deal- what does it mean
The base is $120MM, actually $105MM cause it has a 15MM bonus
-This runs through 2029
Then the M's have to either pick up their option or Julio picks up his.
Now the M's option is for 8-10 years worth $200-$350MM
The guarantee grows to $320MM
if the Mariners don't pick up the option in 2028, then Julio can use his player option for 5yr and $90MM, and then we get the floor of this deal of 13/$210, or he could turn the deal down and hit FA right before he turns 30.
Now, where does that leave the payroll- these numbers are before the Julio deal and increases, and what now? This is guaranteed money-
2023- $80MM +$15MM = 95MM, about $50MM to spend (Ty, Castillo, Castillo, Sewald, Swanson, Dmo arb. Carlos Santana, Mitch Haniger, Adam Frazier are FA)
2024-$70MM +$15MM =85MM, about $60MM to spend (wink is FA and will be 31. L Castillo hits FA, Haggerty entered arb)
2025- $21MM +$15MM= 36MM about $110MM to spend (Logan,cal enters arb. geno has an option but will be 34yo. D Castillo, Sewald,
2026- $12MM +$15MM = 27MM about $120MM to spend(Kirby, Murfee, Brash, Festa enters arb)
2027- JP is a FA, Haggerty is FA
For the historical context, 2008- $117MM- 9th in the MLB, 2018 $157MM, which was 11th in MLB.
- Sign Haniger, 31, has at least three more years of being productive. With the injury history, a deal should look something close to Mark Canha- $12.6MM to Starling Marte's $15.7MM
- Extend Castillo, 29, he is getting into a pitcher's prime years, and another Robbie Ray atop this rotation wouldn't hurt us. 5/$100MM. This AAV would be in line with Rodon($21MM), Syndergaard($21MM), Gausman($21MM)
Serious question- What's 2B next year? Is it Frazier on 2yr $20MM, a 33yo Jean Segure reunion, a 32yo Kolten Wong, or a 30yo Frazer? Could it be a 29yo Trea Turner for $30MM, a 28yo Dansby for $22-25mm, or possibly Tim Anderson, who is 29yo, for $15-20?
Do we stay in-house and let Haggerty, Dmo, and Toro duke it out?
Do we turn to a prospect?
Kaden Polcovich(2020 3rd rd pick) who has slashed .245/.347 and posted a .719OPS and will cost nothing, 4th RD pick Jake Scheiner who has a .777OPS at AA with 16HR and 84RBI, Joe Rizzo, who has 18HR and a .785OPS at AA, Mason McCoy(2017 6th Rd pick) 15HR, 46RBI, 759OPS at AAA,
Boyd and Trammel are to be called up.
3- @Det 2/3
3- @Clv 2/3
3- Chi Sox 2/3
3- Atl - Measuring Stick 1/3
2- SD 1/2
Then a long road trip from the 16-25
4- @LAA 3/4
3- @Oak 2/3
3- @KC 2/3
Then back home to end the season
3- Tx 2/3
3- Oak 2/3
4- Det 3/4
Total 22-12 to finish- 92-70
Some M's fun facts
- Geno is only 7K away from breaking the single-season record for K's, which Mike Cameron held in 2002
- JP has a less than 60% SB success rate